UK storm forecast: Doors to Atlantic open as 60mph sea change to dump 50mm of rain

BBC Weather: UK braces for icy blast

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One meteorologist has suggested “the doors to the Atlantic open up this weekend”, forecasting a week of “several rounds of rain”. AccuWeather meteorologist Tony Zartman told Monday will see the start of the downpours.

He said: “There will be a series of storms moving across the northern Atlantic into the United Kingdom next week, starting on Monday.

“This will likely bring several rounds of rain along with gusty winds at times through much of the week. This far out, it is uncertain as to whether any of these storms will reach windstorm criteria.

“Northern and western parts of the United Kingdom stand to see the steadiest and possibly heaviest of the rain with areas farther southeast having some dry periods throughout the week.

“Temperatures through much of the week will run near to perhaps slightly above normal for the period.”

While no weather warnings are in place, maps show Sunday bringing an Atlantic front of rainfall of up to 2mm an hour.

Sunday’s wet weather is expected to clear by 3pm – but will be followed by a deluge expected to hit the UK by 6am on Monday.

By 3pm on Monday, rainfall up to 5mm an hour will strike the northwest of England, with Scotland, Wales and the west coast also soaking in 1mm an hour downpours.

The wet and windy conditions will likely last throughout the rest of the month, according to maps from WXCharts.

Mr Zartman added that, later in the week or possibly over the weekend, “the unsettled weather may be replaced by drier weather”.

Jim Dale, of British Weather Services, told “the doors to the Atlantic open up this weekend”.

He said: “Most areas of the UK have been mainly dry for the past fortnight and for those that have seen rain, it’s generally amounted to well below the average for this time of year.

“However, what’s to come between this weekend and next weekend will mount up typically 25 to 50mm (one to two inches) in most cases, but between 50 and 85mm for parts of the wetter northwest, with NW Scotland the most prone.

“It’s certainly something of a sea change and accompanying the rain will be stronger winds at times (though no named storms as yet).”


Adam Douty, AccuWeather senior meteorologist, told stormy weather will return after the weekend.

He said: “It does look like a stormy weather pattern will be unfolding across the UK beginning early next week as several areas of low pressure track eastward from the Atlantic into northwestern Europe.

“This will likely bring several rounds of rain and wind across the region.

“Though it remains unclear as to if any of these systems will rise to the level of being a windstorm, they can bring wind gusts of 30-40 mph to many areas, and perhaps wind gusts of 50-60 mph along the typically windy areas of the west coast, leading to travel disruptions.

“It does look like this pattern will continue throughout the majority of the week, and may last into the end of October.”

The Met Office suggests rain will sweep in “from the southwest on Monday to all areas by Tuesday, turning windier too”.

For Tuesday to Thursday, they added: “Although starting mostly dry in the southeast, a period of unsettled weather will then develop through next week, with wet and windy conditions likely for all areas, especially so in the north and west.

“There will be showers and longer spells of rain, with the greatest chance of gales in the north and northwest.

“There will still be some sunshine between the showers, and the best of any drier interludes will be in the southeast. Temperatures for all will be around average, if not slightly above.

“Towards the end of next week and beyond, there may be longer drier spells between the periods of wind and rain, these most likely in the south and east of the country.”

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